GW5 projection · 2026/27
3.3projected points (xPts)
floor 0ceiling 8
floor 0ceiling 8haul chance 4%blank risk 47%proj. minutes 61proj. goals 0.15proj. assists 0.21value per £m 0.53
Blank risk = chance of 2 or fewer points this week. Ceiling = the score he beats in 1 week in 10; floor, the score he beats in 9 in 10. Both from the same simulation run as the mean.
Model projection · sample-size-aware · updated every gameweek · generated 2026-09-20. Projections are probabilistic estimates, not certainties.
More at Arsenal