GW6 projection · 2026/27
3.8projected points (xPts)
floor 1ceiling 7
floor 1ceiling 7haul chance 4%blank risk 40%DC chance 17%proj. minutes 78proj. goals 0.07proj. assists 0.35value per £m 0.76
Blank risk = chance of 2 or fewer points this week. Ceiling = the score he beats in 1 week in 10; floor, the score he beats in 9 in 10. Both from the same simulation run as the mean.
fixtureSince the last build · Fixture: kicked off, priced neutral, though goal rate 0.04 → 0.07
Model projection · sample-size-aware · updated every gameweek · generated 2026-10-12. Projections are probabilistic estimates, not certainties.
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