GW5 projection · 2026/27
2.7projected points (xPts)
floor 0ceiling 6
floor 0ceiling 6haul chance 2%blank risk 53%proj. minutes 53proj. goals 0.13proj. assists 0.09value per £m 0.50
Blank risk = chance of 2 or fewer points this week. Ceiling = the score he beats in 1 week in 10; floor, the score he beats in 9 in 10. Both from the same simulation run as the mean.
Model projection · sample-size-aware · updated every gameweek · generated 2026-09-20. Projections are probabilistic estimates, not certainties.